I dunno. The 3rd party candidates look weak. I think what’s more significant is that women everywhere, including the red states, are hopping mad at Trump over the repeal of Roe. That how a Democrat IN ALABAMA recently trounced a GOP candidate in a special election. She ran on promoting women’s rights, especially reproductive rights and won BY MORE THAN 20 points. IN ALABAMA!
That why women’s rights continue winning in ballot initiatives in red states, most notably in Kansas.
I can’t be sure, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Trump and the GOP lose in 2024 by double digits. Repeal of Roe has created real life consequences, that didn’t exist when repealing Roe was an abstract goal of the misogynist right wing. And the MAGA crowd and the whole GOP can’t help themselves—they continue escalating their abuse of women.
And here’s the thing—voters for 3rd party candidates are a small number of voters and they take votes from both parties. But women are the majority of voters in every state and there are clear signs that they will exact revenge BIGLY in November.
Let’s encourage this latent anti-MAGA wave, shall we?